What happens to Labour if the Tories back strong devolution?

A question posed by Matt Wardman.

Here’s the data he presents, from PSR Keele, as a chart.

General Election seats by party and region

What this tells me is that, in terms of actually winning the election, assuming that Labour do at least moderately well in Scotland and Wales, it’s only England that matters. We need to wait to see what effects devolution has had. Since 1998, there have only been two general elections; we don’t know if, for instance, disaffected Labour voters will vote for Plaid Cymru or the SNP, move to the Liberals or stay at home.

xD.


What happens to Labour if the Tories back strong devolution?
 

4 Responses to “What happens to Labour if the Tories back strong devolution?”

  1. Gravatar Matt Wardman Says:

    Yay !




  2. Gravatar Dave Says:

    Feel free to take the image if you want it.

    xD.




  3. Gravatar jameshigham Says:

    Chances are Cameron might.

    jameshigham’s last blog post..[cyclists] and the problems that dare not speak their names




  4. Gravatar Dave Says:

    As a corollary to that:

    Year Non Lab votes in Wales & Scotland Ruling party majority over others listed
    1979 41 96
    1983 49 201
    1987 36 192
    1992 34 114
    1997 22 129
    2001 22 118
    2005 28 25



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